Sam Houston Picks & Pick Betting Analysis March 9

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Playing Sam Houston is a fabulous example of regional racing in the Southwest Circuit… With low cashout rates at 12% on bets like the Daily Double and Pick 3s, 4s, 5s and the Space City 6, there is absolutely no reason to bet. Tonight, on the well maintained John B. Connally Turf Course, 4 races are scheduled on the green!

In addition to large fields and a solid trading structure, SHRP now operates 4 days a week until closing day in early April. Join track announcer Nick Tammaro and his sidekick, Trey Stiles of NHC fame, for “SHRP-e Time” as they recap all of their selections. Plus, JN Campbell’s selections will be featured on the Simulcast, as a bonus… Let’s make some winners!

At Horseracing.net/us, we’ve got you covered, including all the SHRP action! It’s a good time for some of the best racing in North America. If you’re looking for picks elsewhere in the country this Wednesday, be sure to check out our free horse racing picks via the gold button below. Don’t forget to follow us on Twitter… @Horseracing_USA…

Most Likely Winner: (Race 3: Leather & Lace #1, 9/2):

It was only a matter of time before Danny Caldwell (owner) and Martin Villafranco (trainer) launched their Sam Meet. They acquitted themselves well 7 days ago, as did their regular rider, Floyd Wethey Jr. Locomotion in-tow… This seasoned Podium mare is a venerable racer who was once in the care of Ronnie Cravens. If you’ve watched the SHRP Meet over the years, you know she’s a regular at Connally Lawn. Cravens finally let her back in November around the second half of the Remington Park program, and I think her new relationship got a deal. Bringing her back to H-Town, she ran well 1 Mile onto the green, sporting a play effort at odds of 8/1. Replacing Carlos Montalvo, Wethey has pulled himself together and hopes he can organize a trip from the rails. The physical condition of this mare seems intact after almost 2 months off. Another clever claim from Caldwell…great job Coach!

Bet recommendation: $100 win, #1

Quirky game of the day: (Race 9: Zatanna Z #9, 10/1):

If you are looking for a prize horse on the grass that is lightly raced then this is your filly. Last week Coach Scott Young really broke through, and won, and won, and won… He’s currently 51/11-4-6, 22% at the Sam Houston Meet, and I expect that keep on going. Despite all his success, this breed from Oklahoma doesn’t seem to have the right class rating to stay with this group after breaking his young daughter on his SHRP MT debut. I know this goes against the “better” handicapping sensibilities (Ha!) of some punters, but I love this particular place because of Young, but also with his bloodlines. With Hat Trick (JPN) and Medaglia d’Oro in the background, it looks like royalty to me… She’s going to be more than a square prize, and could go out with Alfredo Triana in irons. This one, with these connections, looks like a gamble to me!

Stake recommendation: $100 bankroll, WPS #9 tier bet ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Featured Race of the Day: (Race 7: Turf, 5F, OC10k, F&M 4+):

I specifically chose this race as a ‘feature’ because it has a powerful runner Sam coming right back for more. by Steve Asmussen Avenue of the Lady #6 just ran on dirt March 2 (and this field, for that matter…), winning convincingly for owner CA Arthur in this OC10k-N at 7F. Now the HOF conditioner sees fit to roll her in this turf sprint, and it’s a smart move. Since moving into that Austin Gustafson barn last July, she’s done nothing but win (1 loss @ Delta Nov 27)… With a relatively solid grass pedigree and impeccable form, plus Stewart Elliott to edge, this could be Asmussen’s chance to see what she’s capable of (note that she’s made two turf attempts in her past). This move is reminiscent of Boldor, another stable mate, who performed a capable surface change. Asmussen has a plan…

Of course, I’ll try to take it because I don’t see the point of supporting it. Looking at the rest of this area, I particularly like the look of the two Karl Brobergs Miss Aggie Bling #7 and Jaime Castellanos’ Mizmoney #9. The first is another esteemed Texas bred by super stallion Too Much Bling, and the 5-year-old mare will cut back at a distance she excelled at…literally. Broberg teams up with Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez again, as the two have some impressive encounters. The Dallas-based coach is currently tied with Asmussen at the top of the SHRP “Leaderboard” when it comes to wins (25 each). Expect this Broberg Racing Stables entry to take cash as the 2nd pick…

As for Castellanos’ entry (which he also owns), I like the fact that it ‘placed’ last time in an ALLW37k. Gerber Pivaral is gaining more and more experience on the grass, something he doesn’t often do. If he can get this 5-year-old by Save Big Money to a solid spot to stalk (closer to the front), then maybe his late kick can once again overtake his chances. If she did, it would only give her trainer her 2nd SHRP score this year. I like a state breed going open company…speaks well of barn and lineage. Going up against “Lady A” won’t be an easy task, so I’m going to structure the Exacta I’m going to charge on accordingly… Hopefully she only likes to eat grass and not run on it.

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Wheel, 7/9 w 6

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Enjoy racing “Deep in the Heart of Texas!” Good luck with another run to Sam Houston! Be sure to follow us on Twitter…Horseracing_USA!!!

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